Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1271.909074 1443.014476 1632.267250 1857.740630 2119.854767 2415.908694 2776.953874
2025-10-19 1011.739786 1239.216779 1514.107696 1873.414822 2334.555411 2911.749735 3697.124473
2025-10-26 868.678263 1118.650881 1438.922429 1884.564910 2496.867729 3320.784205 4534.199558
2025-11-02 783.660031 1051.081564 1410.511371 1937.327826 2704.054613 3801.908756 5534.815808
2025-11-09 712.450870 988.798202 1375.565128 1968.255597 2875.045383 4246.481752 6549.950226
2025-11-16 652.667184 933.197417 1339.986277 1988.430177 3025.950185 4675.033720 7608.159132
2025-11-23 603.729264 886.603603 1310.122396 2009.934477 3176.784159 5119.333380 8766.813267
2025-11-30 565.871698 851.819113 1292.863698 2046.632862 3353.552217 5628.047466 10129.818519
2025-12-07 513.914815 789.513670 1225.173223 1990.955481 3363.051950 5842.699339 10977.962585
2025-12-14 468.745964 733.597449 1161.781762 1934.150278 3360.892212 6031.920296 11806.056360
2025-12-21 427.508871 680.355741 1097.539607 1868.030994 3331.728567 6163.001227 12534.462728
2025-12-28 414.011249 672.004439 1108.053671 1936.333973 3563.583449 6838.279115 14579.279837
2026-01-04 394.104583 651.628849 1096.854525 1965.374239 3727.315523 7410.952453 16547.128854
2026-01-11 373.792879 628.890732 1079.454835 1980.912444 3866.770538 7957.649306 18592.394602
2026-01-18 354.984739 607.117480 1061.540034 1992.873816 3999.507126 8510.492645 20789.752391
2026-01-25 343.597387 597.764542 1065.639693 2049.148317 4235.441515 9341.518534 23951.065597
2026-02-01 330.215963 583.538102 1059.000906 2082.144225 4423.688830 10092.068517 27098.352024
2026-02-08 316.578159 567.689323 1047.677190 2103.670461 4588.229631 10813.452796 30370.978954
2026-02-15 304.150197 553.161594 1037.610109 2126.617906 4759.289065 11583.772572 34034.424001
2026-02-22 294.267712 542.815600 1035.013876 2165.784717 4975.884058 12518.901408 38548.677467
2026-03-01 275.620299 513.701227 991.335544 2106.365111 4934.525309 12726.144453 40600.761128
2026-03-08 258.340417 486.199425 948.957412 2045.758847 4882.249098 12893.829808 42570.586934
2026-03-15 241.485245 458.506439 904.188700 1975.237403 4794.908279 12944.007572 44123.705897